Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 44.409223 50.051873 55.940526 62.527491 69.672855 77.172837 85.623105
2024-11-03 36.504063 44.867014 54.137284 65.097968 77.624080 91.414804 107.665758
2024-11-10 31.674246 41.384190 52.606221 66.375837 82.653035 101.120861 123.491059
2024-11-17 27.419462 37.875976 50.421725 66.322903 85.670616 108.181999 136.074628
2024-11-24 25.269413 36.578061 50.573896 68.785856 91.460408 118.367653 152.294206
2024-12-01 22.404460 34.021413 48.856813 68.671046 93.899006 124.407992 163.517970
2024-12-08 19.680586 31.348501 46.716810 67.766690 95.144681 128.846399 172.717224
2024-12-15 17.687444 29.458942 45.411818 67.766476 97.398482 134.448712 183.327027
2024-12-22 15.955868 27.760519 44.205182 67.754007 99.529019 139.837457 193.669992
2024-12-29 15.267163 27.508916 44.939562 70.327139 105.057166 149.604333 209.653777
2025-01-05 14.126106 26.464416 44.461022 71.160367 108.228281 156.337853 221.830627
2025-01-12 13.005584 25.344438 43.780974 71.634565 110.865839 162.366344 233.140130
2025-01-19 11.332249 23.214991 41.514375 69.787105 110.313020 164.248472 239.210000
2025-01-26 10.938688 23.164544 42.369264 72.473876 116.112187 174.697594 256.702623
2025-02-02 10.280499 22.596583 42.374097 73.873996 120.095407 182.734965 271.086932
2025-02-09 9.362776 21.484181 41.445545 73.813972 121.961007 187.893135 281.674070
2025-02-16 9.090503 21.505334 42.314416 76.479819 127.777322 198.524320 299.729219
2025-02-23 8.291951 20.474664 41.402646 76.355541 129.508082 203.521084 310.213587
2025-03-02 7.413495 19.197875 39.994874 75.377055 129.920822 206.649739 318.156667
2025-03-09 6.784765 18.343609 39.240493 75.376822 131.749733 211.755421 328.837866
2025-03-16 6.209268 17.534593 38.507964 75.363329 133.528839 216.787915 339.452691
2025-03-23 6.100439 17.695157 39.484707 78.146750 139.588808 227.987101 358.743161
2025-03-30 5.723539 17.239476 39.327952 79.047634 142.774470 235.099380 372.405033